A Beyond Range Book
The Downswing
Variance, and the Verdict You Can’t Yet Reach.
The graph is red and you want the verdict: good, or not good. This book is about why that verdict hasn’t come, why it may never come on any timeline your life takes place on — and what the players who survive do instead of waiting for it.
You’re responsible for what you could reasonably know — not for what was true. The whole book is an argument for that one sentence, written for the night you need it.
🎧 Listen · the full audiobookThe Downswing
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Contents
An introduction, nine chapters, and a coda — ~36,500 words, about a two-and-a-half-hour read. The argument is cumulative; read it in order.
- IntroductionThe Chair at Two in the Morning What a Poker Downswing Actually Does to You
- Chapter 1The Verdict You're Demanding Am I Running Bad or Playing Bad?
- Chapter 2The Silent Oracle Why Your Poker Graph Can't Tell You If You're Good
- Chapter 3The Crown Was Noise Your Upswing Lied to You Too
- Chapter 4You Are Not a Win-Rate You Are Not a Win-Rate
- Chapter 5The Comfort That Keeps You Sick Why “It's Just Variance” Doesn't Help
- Chapter 6The Accomplice How a Downswing Quietly Changes the Way You Play
- Chapter 7The Two Clocks When to Move Down Stakes (and What It Doesn't Say About You)
- Chapter 8The Only Clean Scoreboard How to Judge Your Poker Game When Results Won't Cooperate
- Chapter 9The Witness and the Read What Happens When You Stop Watching the Graph
- CodaThe Next Decision The Next Decision